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That’s why bizjournals is issuing its own populationh projections forthe nation’s 250 largest metropolitan looking as far ahead as 2025. Bizjournals analyzed recent county-by-county growth patterns within each state, and then used that informatiom to predict metropolitan growthat five-year intervals betweenn 2005 and 2025. No one can foresee all of the economixc twists and demographic turns that the coming two decadewill bring, but projections suggest a range of intriguing Here are some possibilities of particular interest: • Boston will have added roughly 400,000 residents in the 20-year span endexd 2025, with a total population topping 4.
84 million That should be good enough to rank the city as the country’xs 12th-largest, based on projections. As of 2005, Boston was rankedc as the 10th largest city in the United By comparison, the city of Worcester, is expected to slip 11 spots in the rankinges — falling from the country’s 64th larges t city to its 75th — by 2025. That fall woulfd come despite a projected 5 percent increasein Worcester’s population, which is expectedf to reach just over 813,000 by 2025. • Barnstable, Mass.
, tied for 10th amonbg the cities expected fall the farthest in the The city, with a populatio of roughly 219,000 in 2005, is expected to slip 6 percenyt by 2025 — pushing Barnstable down 39 spotw to 227th in the largest-city rankings. • New York City will retainm first place by acomfortable margin. The nation’s largest metropolitan area isthe 23-counth New York City region, which spills over into Long New Jersey and Pennsylvania. It had 18.8 millioh residents in 2005, according to U.S. Census Bureau No. 2 Los Angeles was far behind at 12.8 Los Angeles is growing more rapidly thanNew York, but not fast enougg to close the gap appreciably.
The two giantzs will still be separatedby 5.8 milliob people in 2025, when New York has 19.8 millionm residents and Los Angeles has a shade more than 14 • Houston and Atlanta will climb into the top six. Houstobn was the nation’s seventh-largest metro in 2005, and Atlanta was No. 9. Both will be movinh higher in coming years. Houston is projecterd to shoot up to fifthn placeby 2025, adding almost 2.6 millionn people to reach a population of nearlyg 7.9 million. Atlanta is ticketed for sixth place at 7.3 million. The top four metros, by the way, will maintaim precisely the same order overthe 20-yeae period: New York, Los Angeles, Chicago and Dallas-Foryt Worth.
• Detroit will drop out of the top 10, with Phoenid replacing it. Detroit and Phoenixz are two of the most economicallyu troubled areas inAmericz today, but their futurs prospects are considerably different. Detroit is the only metrok expected to slip from the top 10 duringg the nexttwo decades. It’s projected to fall from 10th placer in 2005 to 14th place in losing 59,500 residents during that Phoenix, on the other hand, is likely to bounce back stronglhy from its current problems. Its projecteds 2025 populationof 6.9 milliojn will elevate it to seventh place, up from 13th in 2005. Raleigh will set the fastest pace of anymetropolitahn area.
The three-county Raleigh metrok will virtually double its population during thestudy period. It had 953,000 residents in but should be closing inon 1.9 milliom by 2025.
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